CRD 04-02

Table 25. Probability of extinction and habitat limitation, average number of spawners in years 2082 to 2102, and replacement rate for three levels of linkages in juvenile survival among rivers.

Base Case (Linked 0.05 noise)

Percent Chance of

Spawners
Rep Rate
Extinction Habitat Lim
DE

18.9

100.0 14.5 0.502
EM
14.4
100.0 19.0 0.571
MC

9.4

98.7 32.9 0.639
PL
47.2
47.5 2.7 0.000
NG

8.9

99.8 34.0 0.636
CB
68.4
83.5 0.5 0.000
DT

50.6

63.1 2.1 0.000
SHP
16.6
99.8 16.7 0.544
DPS

2.7

100.0 135.1 0.734
Downeast
3.1
100.0 111.3 0.726
Southwest

14.9

99.8 21.7 0.583
Juvenile S Independent Among Rivers (All Noise)

Percent Chance of

Spawners
Rep Rate
Extinction Habitat Lim
DE

32.0

100.0 7.1 0.236
EM
23.7
100.0 10.5 0.394
MC

17.7

99.2 17.1 0.464
PL
57.1
48.3 1.2 0.000
NG

17.3

99.9 18.0 0.464
CB
80.7
84.1 0.2 0.000
DT

62.9

62.5 0.8 0.000
SHP
26.7
100.0 9.0 0.347
DPS

1.0

100.0 113.2 0.756
Downeast
1.7
100.0 90.2 0.730
Southwest

19.5

100.0 14.2 0.500
Same Juvenile S for All Rivers (No Noise)

Percent Chance of

Spawners
Rep Rate
Extinction Habitat Lim
DE

41.2

100.0 4.7 0.000
EM
35.5
99.9 6.5 0.150
MC

27.6

98.0 12.0 0.340
PL
69.5
45.5 0.2 0.000
NG

27.3

99.5 12.4 0.349
CB
85.6
77.2 0.1 0.000
DT

72.7

59.7 0.1 0.000
SHP
39.5
99.7 5.5 0.051
DPS

14.3

100.0 48.5 0.525
Downeast
15.3
100.0 40.2 0.516
Southwest

37.7

99.7 6.7 0.150

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(File Modified Nov. 19 2010)