CRD 04-02

Table 23. Probability of extinction and habitat limitation, average number of spawners in years 2082 to 2102, and replacement rate for three levels of straying among rivers (natural, hatchery).
Base Case (1%, 2% stray rates)

Percent Chance of
Spawners
Rep Rate
Extinction Habitat Lim
DE

18.9

 100.0 14.5 0.502
EM
14.4
 100.0 19.0 0.571
MC

9.4

 98.7 32.9 0.639
PL
47.2
 47.5 2.7 0.000
NG

8.9

 99.8 34.0 0.636
CB
68.4
 83.5 0.5 0.000
DT

50.6

 63.1 2.1 0.000
SHP
16.6
 99.8 16.7 0.544
DPS

2.7

 100.0 135.1 0.734
Downeast
3.1
 100.0 111.3 0.726
Southwest

14.9

 99.8 21.7 0.583
No Straying

Percent Chance of
Spawners
Rep Rate
Extinction Habitat Lim
DE

18.8

 100.0 14.8 0.499
EM
15.7
 100.0 18.0 0.534
MC

9.2

 98.7 36.3 0.645
PL
86.2
 21.6 0.0 0.000
NG

8.0

 99.8 36.4 0.655
CB
98.5
 18.2 0.0 0.000
DT

83.5

 36.5 0.0 0.000
SHP
17.6
 99.8 16.0 0.513
DPS

2.5

 100.0 133.8 0.741
Downeast
2.8
 100.0 114.9 0.735
Southwest

17.1

 99.9 16.9 0.520
Increased Straying (5%, 10%)

Percent Chance of
Spawners
Rep Rate
Extinction Habitat Lim
DE

19.5

 100.0 13.2 0.544
EM
12.6
 100.0 20.7 0.631
MC

10.9

 98.1 25.9 0.622
PL
20.8
 88.5 10.9 0.551
NG

11.0

 99.7 25.7 0.625
CB
31.7
 99.8 5.1 0.465
DT

23.3

 94.1 9.2 0.530
SHP
14.7
 99.8 17.6 0.600
DPS

3.2

 100.0 135.5 0.728
Downeast
4.0
 100.0 102.2 0.714
Southwest

10.7

 100.0 32.9 0.679

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 (File Modified Nov. 19 2010)